The international landscape is poised for significant shifts as the world braces for President Trump’s return to office on Monday. Questions loom over the future of U.S. climate policies and global cooperation under his administration. Meanwhile, in Gaza, a fragile ceasefire has brought a temporary halt to hostilities, but the prospects for lasting peace remain elusive. These developments underscore the urgent need to examine the geopolitical, environmental, and security dynamics shaping our world.

 

This week’s newsletter brings you in-depth analyses, from the implications of selective multilateralism and energy transitions to the intricate challenges of Sahel. We also explore the winners and losers of Gaza's ceasefire through a critical lens, alongside engaging multimedia content for a broader understanding of these pressing issues.

EDITO

(FR) The War in Gaza – The Winners of a Ceasefire Without Peace

 

Abdelhak Bassou

 

What does a ceasefire mean when peace remains elusive? The fragile pause in hostilities in Gaza highlights uneven political and strategic gains among key players while leaving root causes of the conflict unaddressed. Regional stability remains precarious, raising urgent questions about the sustainability of such ceasefires and the absence of a long-term peace process. Can this fragile balance hold, or will deeper solutions be necessary to prevent future escalation?... Read more

ANALYSES

The New Trump Administration: Selective Multilateralism and the New South’s Challenge for Global Relevance

 

Ferid Belhaj

 

Selective multilateralism under the Trump administration reshapes global governance, creating hurdles for emerging economies striving to assert their roles in international frameworks. The strategic prioritization of bilateral over multilateral engagements limits opportunities for equitable participation by Global South. Amid these complexities, how can these economies develop strategies to enhance their influence and address global challenges effectively?... Read more

The Climate Policy Outlook Under Trump’s Renewed Mandate

 

Sabrine Emran

 

The United States, responsible for nearly 15% of global greenhouse gas emissions and historically the largest emitter, faces mounting scrutiny as it pivots toward selective multilateralism under President Trump’s renewed mandate. The administration’s previous withdrawal from the Paris Agreement symbolized a retreat from global climate cooperation, raising concerns about the implications for international climate financing and the $1.3 trillion gap in funding needed to meet global targets. With developing nations bearing the brunt of climate change’s impacts, this shift challenges the Global South’s ability to secure equitable resources and influence decision-making processes. Can a fragmented approach to climate governance address the urgent need for coordinated action to combat the intensifying effects of global warming?... Read more

Key Energy Trends Shaping 2025

 

Rim Berahab

 

What are the strategic implications of the global energy transition for resource-rich nations? This analysis delves into the evolving energy landscape, spotlighting key trends in clean energy technologies and their geopolitical impacts. By examining the opportunities and challenges for the Global South in leveraging its critical mineral reserves, the paper offers insights into how these countries can position themselves strategically in the global shift toward sustainable energy. How can they balance resource exploitation with equitable partnerships?... Read more

ON OUR WEBTV THIS WEEK

(FR) Governance and Common Goods in a Fragmented World

 

How can fragmented global governance adapt to address collective challenges? Nathalie Delapalme and Justin Vaïsse discuss frameworks for cooperation, highlighting the urgency of rethinking traditional approaches to managing shared resources and addressing global crises. Their insights provide valuable lessons for enhancing multilateral collaboration in an increasingly divided world... Watch

Is There an Elephant in the Room? NATO and Conflict

 

What does NATO’s evolving role reveal about the future of global conflict management? Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo discusses the alliance’s shifting priorities and strategies, shedding light on its broader implications for international security. As NATO faces emerging threats in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape, how can it maintain relevance and strengthen its role in ensuring global stability?

... Listen

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